Excerpt from the minutes of the Board
of Supervisors meeting of February 7, 2006
Agenda Staff Report, John Wayne Airport
Capacity Allocations for 2006-2007 Plan Year
Presumed Seat Capacity and
Supplemental Seat Capacity (Class E) Allocations
A total of 13,326,294 seats were requested as part of the 2006-07 Plan
Year allocation process. The Airport Director is requesting
authorization to allocate a total of 12,771,764 seats in response to
Air Carrier capacity requests for the 2006-07 Plan Year.
A portion of this Seat Capacity is allocated in connection with the
operation of Class A ADDs and permanent Class E ADDs by the Air
Carriers. The remainder of the Seat Capacity, 2,752,532 seats, is
allocated via the section of the Access Plan which creates Class E
operations capacity for Air Carriers. The specific Seat Capacity
allocation recommendations by Air Carriers are reflected in Exhibit A
to this staff report. As indicated in Exhibit A, this Seat
Capacity allocation would accommodate all of the seats requested for
use during the 2006-07 Plan Year, with the exception of Southwest
Airlines, which would be on the waiting list for 554,530 seats.
The essential policy objective of this recommendation is to provide the
maximum feasible operational capacity to the air traveling public
within the limitations defined by existing Board policy.
The Seat Capacity allocation requested for the 2006-07 Plan Year is the
same as the Seat Capacity allocation for the current 2005-06 Plan
Year. At that level, the Airport is expected to complete the
current 2005-06 Plan Year with a passenger level of approximately
10,038,690, based upon an expected actual average Air Carrier load
factor of approximately 76.1%.
If the County allocates 12,771,764 seats for the 2006-07 Plan Year, as
recommended, the Airport is expected to complete the 2006-07 Plan Year
with passengers-served levels similar to that for the 2005-06 Plan Year
(See Footnote Number 1 Below). The Air Carrier load factors during the
past eight (8) years have ranged from 60.1% to 73.5%. Because
load factors have continued to increase generally at JWA, it appears
appropriate to accommodate most, but not all, of the Supplemental Seat
Capacity requests, in order to provide additional air travel
opportunities to the public without jeopardizing the 10.3 MAP limit of
the Access Plan. Supplemental Seat (Class E) capacity is one of
the "safety valves" for first withdrawal of capacity, if necessary, to
allow the County to match operations with the MAP limits.
1. At the allocation level provided for in connection with the
2005-06 Plan Year process, the Airport would complete the 2005-06 Plan
Year at the regulatory limit of 10.3 MAP only if the Air Carrier
load factors at JWA exceeded 80% during the 2005-06 Plan Year and the
Air Carrier operations utilized 97% of their Seat Capacity and the
Commuter Carriers utilized an expected 480,903 passengers.